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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

data as of 2026-02-18 10:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$3.8K$22K
Holders410+92318
Trades3.8K−5534.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.2%
−19.9 pp
50.1%
Avg ROI5.6%
+7.7 pp
-2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×46.77
+46.25×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.73
+36.22×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.3K
+$4.1K
$13.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.17
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−195.0 pp
97.9%
Underwater %87.5%
+87.3 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.7%
−11.6 pp
76.3%
Bot %64.4%
−11.3 pp
75.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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