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Will the government shutdown end November 19?

data as of 2025-11-10 04:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$515−$162K$162K
Holders204+14757
Trades2.8K+1.2K1.6K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
−23.1 pp
71.7%
Avg ROI35.8%
+23.5 pp
12.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.06
+2.06×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$106
$106
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.40
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-67.6%
−68.3 pp
0.6%
Underwater %98.3%
+98.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.3%
−38.5 pp
93.8%
Bot %55.3%
−38.5 pp
93.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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