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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-02 22:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$19K$16K
Holders290−5295
Trades4.3K−7485.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
+9.7 pp
45.0%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−5.6 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−19.05×
×19.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−17.81×
×18.45
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.8K
+$13.5K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.05
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL54.6%
+149.3 pp
-94.7%
Underwater %0.6%
−97.2 pp
97.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.5%
+0.2 pp
86.3%
Bot %86.1%
+0.8 pp
85.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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