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Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

data as of 2025-10-22 20:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$73K+$61$73K
Holders196+21175
Trades3.8K−4864.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
−1.3 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI5.0%
+5.5 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×75.94
+75.70×
×0.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×75.52
+75.19×
×0.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2
−$1.8K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.28
−0.64
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.6%
−343.5 pp
244.9%
Underwater %99.3%
+92.4 pp
6.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.6%
+6.6 pp
19.0%
Bot %16.9%
−2.7 pp
19.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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