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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-17 09:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$3.6K$9.0K
Holders147−29176
Trades2.3K−2602.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
+3.5 pp
47.0%
Avg ROI1.0%
+0.8 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−40.49×
×41.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−35.64×
×36.24
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.0K
+$2.2K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL69.4%
+166.6 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.6 pp
96.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.8%
−13.0 pp
49.8%
Bot %55.0%
−9.3 pp
64.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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