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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10AM ET

data as of 2026-01-12 15:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$49K+$41K$8.0K
Holders108−4112
Trades2.6K−2562.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.6%
+15.4 pp
44.1%
Avg ROI0.3%
−8.2 pp
8.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−18.70×
×19.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−24.56×
×25.30
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$542
+$473
$69
Recent buyer dominance0.61
−0.21
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.8%
+130.0 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.7 pp
93.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.9%
−11.2 pp
76.1%
Bot %63.5%
−10.2 pp
73.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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