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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

data as of 2026-03-08 14:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.8K−$47K$55K
Holders428+2426
Trades5.0K+1.1K3.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.1%
−32.8 pp
66.9%
Avg ROI0.6%
−1.6 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.39
+0.43×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.45
+1.54×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.1K
−$40.3K
$47.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-72.4%
−83.9 pp
11.5%
Underwater %87.0%
+71.7 pp
15.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.3%
+33.9 pp
52.3%
Bot %31.9%
−20.6 pp
52.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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