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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2025-12-08 01:26 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$2.2K$17K
Holders120−87207
Trades2.0K−6222.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.3%
+23.7 pp
44.7%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−3.8 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−39.40×
×39.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−32.77×
×33.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.0K
+$3.9K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.03
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL70.0%
+167.0 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.8 pp
94.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.8%
+8.3 pp
50.4%
Bot %72.9%
+21.2 pp
51.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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