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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

data as of 2026-03-21 19:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$36K$50K
Holders383−77460
Trades6.7K+7746.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
−13.7 pp
59.8%
Avg ROI6.0%
+2.6 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.33
+10.61×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.07
+11.34×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.6K
−$21.7K
$35.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−129.2 pp
37.2%
Underwater %88.6%
+88.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.4%
−15.8 pp
69.2%
Bot %53.3%
−15.1 pp
68.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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