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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on February 21?

data as of 2026-02-21 13:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$158−$2.8K$3.0K
Holders44−1357
Trades294+85209
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.1%
−45.6 pp
80.7%
Avg ROI15.1%
+16.7 pp
-1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.48
−0.63×
×1.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.44
−0.66×
×1.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$29
−$114
$142
Recent buyer dominance0.78
+0.13
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL115.3%
+123.8 pp
-8.5%
Underwater %10.7%
−85.8 pp
96.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.8%
+9.5 pp
19.4%
Bot %28.8%
+9.5 pp
19.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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