Markets › detail

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-03-24 18:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$587−$22K$23K
Holders135−11146
Trades2.2K+1.7K514
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.7%
−44.6 pp
83.3%
Avg ROI15.0%
+8.7 pp
6.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.44
+0.45×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.44
+0.46×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$142
$144
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.47
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-30.8%
−31.9 pp
1.2%
Underwater %75.9%
+75.1 pp
0.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.3%
−66.3 pp
73.6%
Bot %14.0%
−71.1 pp
85.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse