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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7AM ET

data as of 2026-03-13 11:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$45K$56K
Holders219+10209
Trades3.3K+7102.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−8.8 pp
56.6%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−5.2 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.66
+24.92×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.25
+25.54×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$540
−$6.0K
$6.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.02
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−131.4 pp
35.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.0%
+2.0 pp
67.0%
Bot %68.6%
+10.9 pp
57.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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