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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on March 6?

data as of 2026-03-06 16:48 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$240−$39K$39K
Holders70−96166
Trades500−42542
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.6%
−52.9 pp
90.5%
Avg ROI11.9%
+10.7 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.49
+4.49×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.55
+5.55×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$523
$524
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.12
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.4%
−85.1 pp
0.7%
Underwater %94.1%
+83.6 pp
10.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.7%
+11.6 pp
6.1%
Bot %20.9%
+14.7 pp
6.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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