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Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

data as of 2026-04-02 13:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$31−$3.2K$3.2K
Holders45+1530
Trades508+347161
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.6%
−51.1 pp
86.7%
Avg ROI22.9%
+21.6 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.23
+2.23×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×38.31
+37.32×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$251
$251
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−98.0 pp
1.1%
Underwater %89.3%
+89.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.3%
−13.3 pp
68.6%
Bot %58.7%
−9.9 pp
68.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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