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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-26 18:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$14K$25K
Holders374+129245
Trades2.3K+2542.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−8.0 pp
55.7%
Avg ROI1.7%
+2.9 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.17
+25.48×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.81
+26.18×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.4K
−$5.4K
$7.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.07
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.6%
−152.5 pp
55.9%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.1%
−23.1 pp
81.2%
Bot %56.1%
−23.7 pp
79.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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