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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-27 20:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K−$1.3K$5.9K
Holders70−2191
Trades563−282845
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
+0.6 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI0.2%
−0.2 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.54
−15.30×
×15.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−14.93×
×15.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.6K
+$1.9K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL66.0%
+159.7 pp
-93.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.1%
−4.1 pp
36.2%
Bot %79.1%
+0.9 pp
78.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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