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Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-15 02:22 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4−$537$540
Holders15+69
Trades57+4413
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate5.3%
+5.3 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI172.4%
+172.4 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.94
+0.94×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$54
$55
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-48.3%
−48.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.0%
−45.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %55.0%
+55.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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