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Will Nouvelle Vague win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

data as of 2026-01-22 14:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$48−$15K$15K
Holders30−1242
Trades329+117212
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.8%
−57.6 pp
89.4%
Avg ROI104.1%
+98.9 pp
5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.76
+0.76×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
−$9.5K
$9.5K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-44.4%
−44.5 pp
0.1%
Underwater %28.0%
−38.1 pp
66.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.0%
−15.9 pp
36.9%
Bot %22.7%
−14.3 pp
36.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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