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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-21 06:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$938−$2.8K$3.8K
Holders108+4167
Trades486+144342
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.0%
−36.3 pp
73.3%
Avg ROI19.0%
+18.3 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.00
+24.16×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.38
+22.58×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$167
−$983
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
+0.01
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.1%
−127.3 pp
31.2%
Underwater %97.1%
+97.0 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.3%
+9.4 pp
19.9%
Bot %34.5%
+16.9 pp
17.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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