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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET

data as of 2026-01-07 16:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K−$63K$97K
Holders154−19173
Trades4.4K−3184.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.6%
−1.6 pp
61.2%
Avg ROI1.8%
+1.1 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×57.00
+56.63×
×0.37
Top-20 avg cost vs price×55.73
+55.35×
×0.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.6K
−$1.8K
$4.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.10
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.2%
−243.0 pp
144.9%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.5%
−6.9 pp
71.4%
Bot %62.3%
−7.9 pp
70.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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