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Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

data as of 2026-06-16 20:12 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Sep 23, 2028Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
18¢
NO
82¢
YES
18¢
YesY-NNo
Position$341−$1.0K$1.4K
Holders21+120
Trades53+1637
NO
82¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate70.4%
+12.4 pp
57.9%
Avg ROI-3.6%
−10.4 pp
6.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−0.07×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.01×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$72
−$225
$298
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.13
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.2%
−0.6 pp
0.3%
Underwater %36.2%
−30.3 pp
66.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.0%
−7.2 pp
15.1%
Bot %5.8%
−10.6 pp
16.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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