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Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 21?

data as of 2026-05-21 06:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$256−$5.5K$5.8K
Holders71−2091
Trades531+179352
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.3%
−44.0 pp
81.4%
Avg ROI29.0%
+29.2 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.22
−0.86×
×1.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.40
−0.67×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$598
$613
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.17
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL132.6%
+138.2 pp
-5.6%
Underwater %8.4%
−86.4 pp
94.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.5%
+5.1 pp
4.4%
Bot %12.3%
+8.0 pp
4.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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