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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-27 08:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.5K−$18K$24K
Holders378+80298
Trades2.9K+982.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.6%
−18.4 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI1.9%
+1.7 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.03
+20.25×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.64
+13.85×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.3K
−$14.2K
$19.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−122.8 pp
28.3%
Underwater %98.0%
+97.1 pp
0.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.8%
−13.9 pp
78.7%
Bot %67.6%
−13.3 pp
80.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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