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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET

data as of 2026-05-07 21:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$369$16K
Holders83+1073
Trades1.4K+951.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
−7.8 pp
57.1%
Avg ROI-7.4%
−8.1 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.27
+39.62×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.69
+40.05×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$109
+$712
−$603
Recent buyer dominance0.81
+0.37
0.44
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−154.2 pp
56.7%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.1%
−27.6 pp
82.8%
Bot %55.3%
−27.8 pp
83.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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