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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 08:47 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.0K−$20K$24K
Holders236−42278
Trades1.4K−841.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−4.8 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI2.3%
+0.4 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×32.98
+32.35×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.95
+26.32×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.8K
−$4.0K
$7.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−155.4 pp
59.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+96.2 pp
3.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.1%
−13.1 pp
51.2%
Bot %56.1%
−7.5 pp
63.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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