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Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?

data as of 2025-02-17 15:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$44K−$2.6K$46K
Holders67−168
Trades1.8K+3131.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.5%
−2.5 pp
69.0%
Avg ROI9.0%
−0.0 pp
9.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.02
+2.13×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.09
+2.25×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$327
+$1.8K
−$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.11
−0.17
0.28
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-67.6%
−87.9 pp
20.3%
Underwater %94.7%
+93.2 pp
1.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.5%
−2.5 pp
6.0%
Bot %3.5%
−2.5 pp
6.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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