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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies

data as of 2026-06-03 23:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.3K−$1.5K$5.8K
Holders27027
Trades82−890
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.2%
−32.2 pp
77.5%
Avg ROI5.0%
+5.2 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.26
+21.27×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.93
+21.10×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2.3K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.4%
−115.9 pp
20.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+73.3 pp
26.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.4%
−3.3 pp
6.7%
Bot %15.7%
−0.1 pp
15.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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