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Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 5.0% by March 31?

data as of 2025-12-18 06:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$231−$2.0K$2.2K
Holders54+459
Trades310+26149
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.3%
−26.7 pp
85.0%
Avg ROI6.8%
+5.9 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.21
+0.21×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.18
+0.18×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$8
$8
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-15.2%
−15.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %84.1%
+84.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.1%
+84.1 pp
0.0%
Bot %84.1%
+84.1 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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