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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

data as of 2026-04-14 10:08 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K+$25K$4.0K
Holders362−28390
Trades2.2K−1652.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.0%
+10.7 pp
45.3%
Avg ROI2.5%
+0.3 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−10.57×
×11.38
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−8.04×
×8.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.1K
+$9.9K
$3.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL36.0%
+127.1 pp
-91.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.4%
+10.8 pp
64.6%
Bot %74.7%
+9.9 pp
64.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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