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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 20:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$47K+$33K$15K
Holders333−134467
Trades3.5K−8944.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.4%
+25.5 pp
29.9%
Avg ROI7.5%
+3.6 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.44
−40.05×
×40.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−34.10×
×34.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.0K
−$2.6K
$12.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.00
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL92.2%
+189.5 pp
-97.3%
Underwater %3.6%
−91.6 pp
95.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.4%
+3.8 pp
60.6%
Bot %62.3%
+9.7 pp
52.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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