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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

data as of 2025-11-14 20:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.5K−$1.1K$6.5K
Holders80080
Trades1.0K+145871
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.7%
−12.8 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI3.3%
+4.3 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×41.37
+40.84×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.17
+33.65×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
−$459
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.23
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−181.2 pp
84.1%
Underwater %97.7%
+97.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.7%
−15.9 pp
69.6%
Bot %49.2%
−15.1 pp
64.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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