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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

data as of 2026-03-14 08:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$12K$27K
Holders386+91295
Trades4.3K+5553.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.4%
−14.3 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI2.8%
−1.1 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.50
+39.93×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.80
+35.22×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.5K
−$8.6K
$20.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.02
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−166.8 pp
69.7%
Underwater %99.4%
+98.5 pp
1.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.2%
+9.0 pp
62.3%
Bot %70.9%
+8.9 pp
62.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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