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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 10:23 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K−$32K$37K
Holders385+97288
Trades2.7K+6382.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.9%
−12.8 pp
56.7%
Avg ROI15.1%
+15.8 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.43
+8.57×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.17
+9.32×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.3K
−$11.6K
$15.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.5%
−108.8 pp
18.2%
Underwater %98.8%
+98.3 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.3%
−14.1 pp
79.4%
Bot %65.1%
−19.3 pp
84.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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