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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 07:11 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.7K+$2.6K$2.1K
Holders35−439
Trades462−23485
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.7%
+13.3 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−0.7 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−5.94×
×6.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−5.78×
×6.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$327
+$322
$5
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL70.1%
+155.1 pp
-85.0%
Underwater %11.2%
−88.2 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.4%
+11.0 pp
56.3%
Bot %67.4%
+11.0 pp
56.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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