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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

data as of 2026-02-05 22:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$104K−$25K$129K
Holders470+90380
Trades9.1K+6448.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−3.5 pp
49.1%
Avg ROI2.6%
+4.4 pp
-1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.80
+28.39×
×0.41
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.95
+28.51×
×0.45
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.9K
+$2.0K
$22.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.02
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−222.0 pp
125.5%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.3%
−1.3 pp
86.6%
Bot %85.1%
−1.6 pp
86.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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