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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 06:11 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$854−$1.2K$2.1K
Holders62+854
Trades316+42274
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
−1.3 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI2.3%
+2.8 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.24
+10.43×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.68
+11.91×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$42
+$9
$34
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.1%
−121.8 pp
29.7%
Underwater %99.4%
+98.6 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.9%
−10.0 pp
54.9%
Bot %49.2%
−22.3 pp
71.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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