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Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

data as of 2025-01-29 18:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$41K−$7.78M$7.82M
Holders3.2K−15K18K
Trades52K+13K39K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate20.1%
−47.0 pp
67.0%
Avg ROI68.5%
+65.8 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−0.60×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−0.46×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$184
−$24.2K
$24.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.07
0.73
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL79.6%
+79.8 pp
-0.1%
Underwater %13.0%
−60.2 pp
73.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.6%
−25.4 pp
59.0%
Bot %1.9%
−57.7 pp
59.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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