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Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 18?

data as of 2026-05-18 14:01 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$83+$43$40
Holders3−58
Trades3−1013
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.7%
−0.0 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI4.4%
−0.1 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.03×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.03×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13
−$21
$34
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+2.9 pp
-2.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−90.6 pp
90.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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