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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12?

data as of 2026-06-12 20:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$259−$5.4K$5.6K
Holders56−48104
Trades453−65518
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−37.3 pp
87.3%
Avg ROI7.9%
+1.6 pp
6.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.43
+2.44×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.73
+1.74×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
−$596
$608
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-64.0%
−66.6 pp
2.6%
Underwater %76.9%
+35.7 pp
41.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.0%
+6.4 pp
4.6%
Bot %10.3%
+4.0 pp
6.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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