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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10PM ET

data as of 2026-02-28 03:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.8K−$41K$50K
Holders162+49113
Trades2.7K+5452.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−16.9 pp
66.3%
Avg ROI4.4%
+3.4 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.20
+12.46×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.93
+12.17×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$61
−$1.5K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.01
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.6%
−124.7 pp
32.1%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.5%
−5.1 pp
81.6%
Bot %76.5%
−5.1 pp
81.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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