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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 17?

data as of 2026-07-15 06:26 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 17, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
9¢
NO
91¢
YES
9¢
YesY-NNo
Position$24−$159$184
Holders8−311
Trades29+821
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.0%
−49.5 pp
86.5%
Avg ROI6.6%
+6.3 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.09
+0.10×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.15
+0.16×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$64
$71
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.26
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-12.9%
−14.4 pp
1.5%
Underwater %92.9%
+92.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−29.3 pp
29.3%
Bot %57.4%
−1.9 pp
59.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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