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U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

data as of 2026-01-30 16:34 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$183K+$175K$8.3K
Holders127−35162
Trades3.5K−1233.6K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.8%
+14.1 pp
54.6%
Avg ROI8.2%
−21.8 pp
30.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−134.26×
×135.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−157.29×
×158.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.1K
+$3.1K
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.82
+0.14
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.2%
+128.6 pp
-99.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.0 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.6%
+25.0 pp
22.6%
Bot %47.6%
+25.7 pp
22.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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