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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?

data as of 2026-05-26 06:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.5K−$12K$14K
Holders169−11180
Trades891−66957
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.7%
−13.2 pp
64.9%
Avg ROI4.7%
−0.4 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−0.93×
×1.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−0.93×
×1.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15
+$8
$7
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.45
0.55
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.0%
+93.3 pp
-40.3%
Underwater %26.1%
−56.7 pp
82.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.5%
−5.5 pp
29.0%
Bot %23.4%
−8.4 pp
31.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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