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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-09 19:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$9.1K$2.4K
Holders107−50157
Trades995−1411.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.9%
+23.0 pp
39.9%
Avg ROI1.6%
+3.2 pp
-1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−5.74×
×6.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−5.96×
×6.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.7K
+$7.3K
$341
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.09
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.0%
+108.9 pp
-85.9%
Underwater %4.2%
−69.5 pp
73.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.1%
+5.7 pp
71.4%
Bot %82.4%
+8.0 pp
74.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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