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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 4?

data as of 2026-05-04 12:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$64−$1.2K$1.3K
Holders42042
Trades267+165102
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.7%
−35.9 pp
75.5%
Avg ROI6.9%
+4.6 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.26
+39.31×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×58.40
+57.47×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.5%
−107.7 pp
9.2%
Underwater %77.7%
+77.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.1%
+32.7 pp
2.4%
Bot %35.1%
+32.7 pp
2.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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