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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

data as of 2026-04-05 05:15 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$10K$2.4K
Holders150+12138
Trades1.2K−1481.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.3%
+32.7 pp
35.6%
Avg ROI-0.3%
+9.6 pp
-9.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.85
−12.72×
×13.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−12.88×
×13.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.6K
+$6.2K
$390
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.5%
+111.0 pp
-93.5%
Underwater %1.2%
−96.5 pp
97.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.1%
+0.2 pp
73.9%
Bot %74.3%
+0.3 pp
74.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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