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BNB Up or Down - July 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 20:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$52−$37$89
Holders12012
Trades25+223
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−3.4 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−2.1 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.65
+0.13×
×1.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.50
−0.04×
×1.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17
−$0
$18
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-33.4%
+1.6 pp
-35.0%
Underwater %81.7%
−16.0 pp
97.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.9%
−4.3 pp
9.2%
Bot %0.0%
−9.2 pp
9.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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