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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1AM ET

data as of 2026-03-22 05:51 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.0K−$23K$27K
Holders145+33112
Trades2.0K+5041.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−11.7 pp
59.6%
Avg ROI-0.2%
+1.5 pp
-1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.63
+3.82×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.63
+4.83×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$631
−$2.6K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.06
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.0%
−105.0 pp
21.0%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.4%
+22.6 pp
59.8%
Bot %45.2%
−14.7 pp
59.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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