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Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on April 23?

data as of 2026-04-21 04:18 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4−$989$994
Holders11−920
Trades43+1726
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−46.3 pp
46.3%
Avg ROI0.0%
+12.2 pp
-12.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.30
+0.30×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.30
+0.30×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$8
$8
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-23.3%
−23.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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