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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 17:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$1.4K$17K
Holders406+66340
Trades3.4K+1283.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
+1.1 pp
48.6%
Avg ROI0.9%
−0.5 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−16.00×
×16.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.50
−16.06×
×16.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.0K
+$7
$16.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL97.9%
+191.8 pp
-93.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.5%
+2.3 pp
36.3%
Bot %52.8%
+6.3 pp
46.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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